Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi's Substack: Michelle Brohard, head of policy and geopolitical risk at Kpler, speculated in a recent interview with energy analyst Rory Johnston (@commoditycontext) that the reason why more crude is getting through the Strait...
China to the Rescue? Why Only Beijing May Be Able To End the Iran War
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. If you’ve followed my interviews, you know I’ve been warning about the high likelihood of a third round of the war – one that would almost certainly be far more intense than the previous two. I’ve also argued...
Trump’s Saudi Nuclear Agreement May Prolong the Iran War
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. A final deal between the United States and Iran is slipping further out of reach. Since the Memorandum of Understanding collapsed in July, the prospects for reviving it have deteriorated by the day. While Tehran...
An American Soldier in the Persian Gulf Sent Me a Picture. It Went Viral.
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. One of the important characteristics of Israel and Donald Trump’s war on Iran was that it never had the support of the American people. When George Bush launched his illegal invasion of Iraq, support stood strong...
Why So Many Countries Around the World Quietly Root for Iran
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. I have been stunned by the number of officials from a wide variety of countries who, while hardly favoring Iran or feeling much empathy for the Islamic Republic, have privately expressed to me a huge sigh of...
Has Trump Turned the Tables on Iran – or Is Another Round of War Coming?
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. The Trump administration believes it has turned the tables on Iran. Washington assesses that the rerouting of maritime traffic through the Omani corridor, combined with a global shift away from Persian Gulf oil,...
Before Hormuz, There Was Suez: What Trump Can Learn From Eisenhower
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. Oman and Iran appear close to a temporary arrangement to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, potentially providing both an exit from the current round of fighting and the foundation for a more durable maritime order....
The US-Saudi Nuclear Deal Makes No Sense
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. A few points on the shocking U.S.–Saudi nuclear deal announced. 1. This reflects a weaker American bargaining position, not a stronger one. The broader context is China. The Biden administration pursued a nuclear...
US-Iran Escalation Is a Mere Prelude to What Is Likely to Come
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. We have seen a major escalation between the US and Iran over the past 24 hours, but it is likely only a prelude to what appears to be coming next week. Tehran continues to respond tit-for-tat, demonstrating that,...
How the US-Iran Fight in the Strait of Hormuz Can Be Resolved Before It Blows Up the MoU
Reprinted with permission from Trita Parsi’s Substack. For the second time since the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding (MOU) was signed, Washington and Tehran have slipped back into direct military confrontation. The United States struck “80 targets in Iran with...


