The ancient Greeks had a saying: "Those whom the gods wish to destroy they first make mad." They named such madness hubris, and the subsequent destruction nemesis. One would think the American Empire would at least try and learn from the wisdom of the ancients; yet not only does it repeat their mistakes, it has managed to develop an entire system of delusions, capable of interpreting ancient wisdom to support the very things it cautioned against.
This disconnect was famously documented by Ron Suskind in 2004, who quoted an unnamed Bush administration official (later identified as Karl Rove), contemptuously dismissing the "reality-based community":
"We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality — judiciously, as you will — we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors…and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."
Though Bush II has been out of office for almost three years, there are no indications this worldview departed with him. Quite the contrary; proof is in the current Emperor’s recent attempt to evade Congressional oversight of the adventure in Libya by calling it a "kinetic military action." Translated from bureaucratese to plain English, that actually means precisely what Obama’s people say it doesn’t: war.
Fire in the Minds of Men
Back in 2005, Bush II heralded an effort to spread "freedom" to every corner of the world, setting "fire in the minds of men". It was a phrase right out of Dostoevsky, via Billington, evoking revolutionary fever. By that point, the world had already seen the first wave of the so-called "color revolutions," the most notable being those in Tbilisi and Kiev. After several of them notably failed, however, the whole project seemed as obsolete as the lies about Iraqi WMDs.
Then came the Sandstorm, or as the Imperial pundits prefer to call it, the "Arab Spring." To hear the mainstream media tell it, the world is once again catching fire, young people everywhere demanding "democracy" and overthrowing the evil regimes oppressing them. Tunisia and Egypt were just the beginning, the "kinetic action" in Libya is all about helping the "democrats", and if there is any fault in Washington, it is for "standing idly by" and "not helping enough".
But is that really so?
A few days ago, an interesting documentary appeared on YouTube. "The Revolution Business" documents the recent revolutions throughout the world, and finds the common thread running through nearly all of them: Otpor.
Originally a student group devoted to protesting what they saw as dictatorship by the Serbian president Slobodan Milosevic, Otpor ("Resistance") was co-opted by the U.S. intelligence after the NATO attack on Serbia in 1999. Backed by a propaganda apparatus, "suitcases of cash" and a host of organizations from the CIA to the NED, Otpor spearheaded the October 2000 coup in Belgrade, which ousted Milosevic and brought to power a coalition of "democrats" put together by the Empire.
Serbia was the test case for this new mode of warfare by subterfuge, Patient Zero in a world soon to be infected by "revolutions" that weren’t. Otpor was the vector designed for the purpose.
Instruments of Own Demise
The aforementioned documentary spends a lot of time with Srdja Popovic, former Otpor leader that went on to become a professional revolutionary. Otpor having folded years ago into Serbia’s ruling Democratic Party, Popovic now runs an outfit called CANVAS (Center for Applied NonViolent Action and Strategies), lecturing all over the world and training activists in dozens of countries to replicate the Serbian coup. In that mission he is helped by an instruction booklet written by Gene Sharp, a scholar from Boston.
The tactics and techniques of the revolutionaries have been described in some detail, both in Sharp’s book and by outside observers (such as John Laughland). Suffice to say they are all about exploiting the genuine public sentiment — real discontent where it exists, manufactured where it does not — and using the tricks from their toolbox to nudge it in the desired direction.
They always target the young, known for the excess of zeal and shortage of forethought. Who doesn’t want freedom and democracy (meaning the hedonist lifestyle seen in American movies and TV shows)? And here are all these "consultants," teaching them for "free." Even those who dislike and mistrust the Empire find it hard to argue against such gifts without seeming unduly paranoid.
Between the anvil of internal rebellion and the hammer of the Imperial media and diplomatic assault, the "oppressive regime" usually loses its nerve and folds. The "good democrats" installed in power soon start ruling in the interest of the Empire, and the activists realize the "training and consultation" they received weren’t free after all. The Empire always collects its debts.
Yet the revolutionaries rarely revolt after finding out they’ve been used thus. How can they? Even if they somehow overcome the crushingly demoralizing effect of finding out they were the agents of their own subjugation, that very fact destroys their credibility at home. Having supped from the cannibal pot, they are marked forever.
Willing Executioners
Then there are some who enjoy the taste, and become willing agents of the Empire. Popovic is proud of his revolution-exporting adventures. He gladly points out that the Otpor logo — a stenciled fist — has been used by local franchises from Ukraine to Venezuela. On several occasions, the backdrop to Popovic is an Otpor poster, showing the fist and the motto, "Because I love Serbia". It is a particularly vicious lie: in the Serbia the Empire had Otpor create, only those who hate it prosper.
Popovic does, however, try to obscure his Imperial connections, claiming that CANVAS is an entirely private organization, funded with Serbian money. Why, then, is its name an English acronym? And where did they get the money, in a country first systematically impoverished by a decade of UN sanctions, then bombed to rubble, and finally looted by the Empire’s "democrats"? So looted, in fact, that rummaging through garbage is close to becoming a major branch of agriculture…
Branding Otpor and CANVAS as Serbian is no accident. Few in the world would be inclined to suspect a Serb of working for the Empire, after everything that happened in the Balkans in the 1990s. Washington policymakers have just about admitted that American bombers flew over Belgrade because of "Yugoslavia’s resistance to the broader trends of political and economic reform," rather than any reports of atrocities, exaggerated or fabricated on demand.
Merely defeating and conquering Serbia would not do. The Serbs had to be turned into the Empire’s most dedicated servants: when even a people like that can be so thoroughly crushed, resistance to the Empire must surely be futile.
Curing Patient Zero
Despite its inability to actually achieve global hegemony, the Empire is in no danger of lapsing into "isolationism" anytime soon. Even those establishment figures who demand withdrawal from places like Kandahar only do so because they figure those troops would soon be needed elsewhere. Washington’s mindset is stuck in Bosnia forever — or for as long as the managed perception of fiscal solvency holds up, anyway.
It is to be expected, though, that Washington will turn increasingly to CANVAS revolutions as the preferred tool of conquest, because they are cheaper and overall more effective than bombs. Even so, they aren’t always successful. The revolt fomented in Libya failed, and the current war is an effort to salvage it. Attempts in Russia, Belarus and Iran have failed as well, and Ukraine actually managed to recover from the "orange" takeover. Yet the revolutionary virus will likely continue to spread until something is done about both the vector and Patient Zero.
Read more by Nebojsa Malic
- Victory Day – May 10th, 2013
- Consenting to Rape – April 25th, 2013
- An Unexpected Refusal – April 12th, 2013
- Lawless: An Oddly Exceptional Empire – March 28th, 2013
- Illusion of Triumph – March 21st, 2013





Maidhc Ó Cathail
June 23rd, 2011 at 10:50 pm
Many thanks to Nebojsa Malic for ending six months of uncritical cheerleading for the so-called "Arab Spring" at Antiwar.
Note the presence in the background of the Revolution Business of Peter Ackerman, who is depicted in the excerpted Iranian video. Ackerman, who made up to $500 milllion on junk bonds, was president of Freedom House between 2005 and 2009, funded Gene Sharp’s work, and supports the work of CANVAS. He also produced their regime-change video game “A Force More Powerful.”
Maidhc Ó Cathail
June 23rd, 2011 at 10:51 pm
And for those who believe that Israel is genuinely worried about the prospect of “democratic change” in the region, Ackerman’s participation in a roundtable discussion entitled “The Challenge of Radical Islam” at the 2008 Herzliya Conference with Uzi Landau, Ariel Sharon’s Minister of Internal Security and current member of the Knesset for Avigdor Lieberman’s Yisrael Beiteinu; Judith Miller, the purveyor of the Perle-Wolfowitz-Chalabi Iraqi WMD lies in the New York Times; and the Mossad-linked “terrorism expert” Steven Emerson, should give them pause for thought. Moreover, back in 2005 Ackerman co-authored an LA Times op-ed with pro-Israeli warmonger Michael Ledeen entitled “Say You Want a Revolution.”
Michael Kenny
June 24th, 2011 at 5:25 am
Something similar is happening in Greece. TV reports here in Europe show people dressed head to toe in black, usually hooded, and all wearing gas masks, who turn up at peaceful demonstrations and attack the police to create the impression of a sort of "popular uprising". They also try to chase away cameramen who try to film them. That suggests professionals (the infamous "contractors"?). After all, how many people go to an obstensibly peaceful demonstration wearing gas masks? Indeed, how many people do you know who even own a gas mask? That also suggests that the "euro crisis" is being manufactured. The Optor precedent would tend to support that theory.
Johnny
June 24th, 2011 at 6:08 am
Mr. Malic is not entirely correct. The Serbian "revolution" of 2000 (October), backed by the Empire, wasn't first of that kind. It was preceded by two "revolutions" of similar sort, carried out in Slovakia (1998) and Croatia (1999-2000), where governments disliked by the Empire were overthrown and those "committed to Euro-Atlantic values" put into their place. Unlike in Serbia, in Croatian and Slovakian cases there was no violent irruption into the parliament or something similar, but pro-Western forces won elections, following a propaganda of brain-washing which lasted for several previous years and was done by NGOs OPENLY financed by the USA. Croatian operation of regime change was directed by the US ambassador to Croatia William Montgomery. Shortly after the job was done and Croatia got new, "pro-Western" government (January 2000), Montgomery was appointed as ambassador to Serbia (then officially: Federal Republic of Yugoslavia), where he steered the process of ousting Milosevic.
Johnny
June 24th, 2011 at 6:12 am
In the beginning, Montgomery acted from Budapest, where the temporary seat of the US embassy to Serbia was located, due to the fact that Serbia had severed its diplomatic ties with USA and a couple of other countries, due to the NATO attacks. After the "revolution" of October 2000 Montgomery came to Belgrade, where he stayed several years as US ambassador.
Similar scenarios were successfully repeated in Ukraine in Georgia, But failed in Belarus.
StephenZ
June 24th, 2011 at 6:26 am
Clearly the author does not know Popovic. I remember him speaking at at anti-war rally in Portland, Oregon three years ago on the 9/11 anniversary, denouncing U.S. imperialism, the war on Iraq, the war on Afghanistan, and — of course — the 1999 war on his country, which he and most other Otpor activists strenuously opposed. He was in Portland doing a training for U.S. anti-war and environmental activists. (He also opposed the war on Libya, incidentally.) Does this sound like a "willing agent of Empire?" And does Malic really think that a handful of Serbs can get millions of peoples out on the streets? Does he really think that Arabs are simply sheep that a few white Europeans lead to a popular insurrection against entrenched US-backed dictatorships? Get real!
StephenZ
June 24th, 2011 at 6:32 am
If you actually read Ackerman's comments from that panel, it is clear he doesn not support Israeli policy. Indeed, he is a critic of the Israeli occupation and has supported Palestinian nonviolent resistance campaigns, workshops for Palestinian activists, and the anti-occupation film "Budrus." I disagree with Ackerman on a lot of things, but claiming he supports the rightist Israeli government is ridiculous.
Edwina White
June 24th, 2011 at 8:36 am
The discontent in these various countries is real. No pro-western actors can manufacture wide-spread discontent. The Tunisian and Egyptian uprisings were a surprise to the western powers. No question that the U.S. and Europe would try to influence the outcome by supporting one group or another, or even by intervening militarily, as it has done in Lybia — and the Yugoslavian countries. But much will be determined by the people organizing the uprisings. If there is a strong and organized labor presence, co-operating with community-based organizations, the people can get some of what they need. The western empire is resorting more often to military intervention, because its client regimes are falling. Stay tuned. Or "A luta continua".
Maidhc Ó Cathail
June 24th, 2011 at 8:52 am
Stephen Zunes, I presume.
Is this part of your responsibilities as chair of the academic advisory committee for Ackerman's International Center on Nonviolent Conflict? And how much is he paying you for your expertise in strategic nonviolent action in this very busy year?
By the way, on what things do you disagree with Ackerman? And if it's not too much trouble, please enlighten us as to Ackerman's presumably "leftist" Israeli position. Is the goal a "two-state solution" with demilitarised bantustans for the Palestinians in order to preserve the "Jewish and democratic" nature of Israel?
And don't forget to give my regards to the junk bond "teflon guy" at the next workshop–wherever that may be.
Milan_che
June 24th, 2011 at 10:14 am
I was really surprised to read such a speech of hatred on such a
prominent website as anti-war. I dont know why your author hates Srdja
Popovic, labeling him as vector and Patient Zero, inviting for curing
patient zero and telling that something should be done with him is not
something I would expect from Antiwar.com. You guys should look on who
writes your staff more!
First of all I know Srdja from students protests in 90ties and he may be
called anything but imperialist.
I remember tha day the NATO bomb has hit Serbian National TV Building
durin NATO aggression on Serbia. Popovic`s own mother Vesna Nestorovic
working place and kill 16 of her collegues, people she has known well.
Popovic has stated his anti-imperialism clearly over and over, publically
criticizing foreign military interventions, those coming from US and its
allies in Kosovo, Iraq, Afrganistan and Libya, as well as Putins military
aggression on Georgia like in the interview with BBC world from last month
bellow: http://www.theworld.org/2011/05/serbian-experienc…
I personally dont think that foreign military intervention can bring
democracy in any place in the world, and I think a bloody stalemate to
Libyans and instability we have in we had in Iraq and Afghanistan are
great examples of this postulate
There are also at least dozen of interviews published where he is clearly
critical about foreign military intervention clearly stating that
democracy is not coming on the roof of tank.: http://www.yesmagazine.org/peace-justice/how-we-b…
So I hope in future author will do his homework before labeling people "imperialists".
Bianca
June 24th, 2011 at 12:08 pm
You got it wrong. These cells infiltrate and provide leadership in targeted countries. For example, Otpor logo is the symbol of April 6 movement in Egypt, the movement and its leader depicted in Al-Jazeera documentary. None of those people will be "pro-empire", as they will loose instantly their street credentials. If you think that antiwar movement in US is not infiltrated think again. Of course, he has to be "anti-war", what else! In Egypt, April 6 group, Otpor-branded spends now spends all the time "community organizing", and sending his trainees into public to have their brains directed. OTPOR is fomenting hatred against military, and is denouncing candidates who are genuinely independent of imperial influence. Otpor types are NOT ORGANIZING POLITICALLY, which is tell tale sign that they are not interested in political process. You are extremely naive. Popovic is OF COURSE going to oppose war on Libya, denounce imperialism! Of course, how else will a con man get accepted? Arabs are not sheeple, and they do not need Europeans to lead their "Otpors". They have plenty of their own con men.
conumishu
June 24th, 2011 at 4:16 pm
Or he could quote your entire comment and add a…
qed
If events and people involved were so clear cut, lies and deception couldn't succeed. Experience tells us another story.
If I may generalize, it suffices to launch an idea, no matter how outlandish and work hard to make it worthy of "debate". Once you have the pro and con groups you just need to "proactively" wait, sooner or later the two groups will come close in numbers and it won't be so difficult to tip the balance where you like it. The will is there, the method is there and the resources to fuel it. It may and will backfire… so what, re-tune the engine and start anew. Democracy, as we thought we understand it, is dead. almost objectively so. Welcome to the big numbers, real time processing power and instant communications. Thank heavens we still have vast amounts of stupidity and that it spreads indiscriminately.
Bianca
June 24th, 2011 at 5:22 pm
Right. Seeing right through. And to BBC seems to be an expert on Putin, and the "aggression" on Georgia. We get it. Nothing more needs to be said. You are waisting your time supplying folks with the "relevant" links. You see, we get it. Serving the empire with the right amount of herbs and spices for the masses. A principle of "little sugar gets the medicine go down", imperial poison, that is.
Not bying his brand, or those who defend the faux revolutionaries.
Bianca
June 24th, 2011 at 5:35 pm
I agree with this premise. The discontent is real. Most of those regimes practiced the art of "neoliberal economy", based on financialization of everything. Tunis and Egypt caught western powers by surprise and without an answer. Have Western powers always tried to influence regimes in the Middle East, even those that were fully maleable? Of course. Fomenting a little discontent is a proven formula, as it comes in handy to bash the obstinate dictators when they are not giving some of the family silver, so you can smack them with some human rights. But these OTPORS were not what moved the earth. When discontent spread to farmers, workers and army joined, it spelled the end of the regime. The nervousness of Western powers is demonstrated thorough rash intervention in Libya, and overt crushing of rebellion with Saudi tanks in Bahrain. It is getting more obvious by the day that US and Saudis are trying very hard to keep the regime in power in Yemen, even by killing civilians by any means available. Empire has struck back. But the stallwarths like Saudi Arabia are on shaky grounds — so that attention and stirring up the pot is directed at Syria. It is indeed ONLY THE BEGINNING, with no clear end in sight.
Hrebeljanovic
June 24th, 2011 at 8:39 pm
I am surprised that you think that you can sell your Imperial propaganda cockamamie on the pages of antiwar.com. Your Imperial mentors should've thought you better. You and your buddy Stephen Zunes should take your falsehood drivels elsewhere.
conumishu
June 25th, 2011 at 8:02 am
It's a continuum, but the colored flavor had its embrio in Serbia. You can call it a reproducible enhancement, the "prototype" for a new line of production. It seems the model became obsolete after 10 years.
I don't know why, probably the inertia of huge imperial bureaucracies is the cause, but even covert ops need some pattern to follow for a while. Makes sense after the "successfull" outcome, easier to manage when you have the same typology to deal with.
Looks like is time for a pattern change though.
Roque Santa Cruz
June 25th, 2011 at 8:42 am
and do you think arabs could do this on their own
Hrebeljanovic
June 27th, 2011 at 12:08 am
So, mister Che Guevara, you can tell Mr. Malic what to do but you have no guts whatsoever to respond my comment. The only thing that comes to mind is that you've got no balls.
Come to papa.
MvGuy
June 29th, 2011 at 9:55 pm
O.K., O.K. So popovic is no slave to empire, but what about your CRAZY stand on Grorgia….??? ["Putins military aggression on Georgia"...??] Isn't the truth that the Georgia war was planned and executed by the U.S. and the (former..??) Israeli commanders in the Georgia military…… To me you lose ALL credibility when you take such a position…. God knows that I am NOT an expert on the Balkans….and never claim to be……. but WHOMEVER planned and started that confrontation is an important fact of history……….not to treated lightly or offhandedly….. It is historical revisionism to lay it on Russia I believe…… Give us more actual facts and less opinion please….
MvGuy
June 29th, 2011 at 10:07 pm
Strange Bianca, my comment is so similar to yours….. The Milan_Che has the piano in his bathroom and the toilet in the kitchen… We both immediately write him off when he blames Putin & Russia…., This antiwar politics sure draws strange opinions….. Or are WE wrong….??? I don't believe so, but I wanna see the time stamped photos of the invasion…. or not… WTF…. Will that one EVER get settled…??
@gyges01
June 24th, 2012 at 1:15 pm
Not to grasp,
"We’re an empire now, and when we act, we create our own reality. And while you’re studying that reality — judiciously, as you will — we’ll act again, creating other new realities, which you can study too, and that’s how things will sort out. We’re history’s actors…and you, all of you, will be left to just study what we do."
is not to grasp subjective reality.