Disillusioned by wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, the U.S. public is
becoming increasingly comfortable with a more modest and less
militarized global role for the nation, according to the latest in a biennial series of major surveys.
That attitude is particularly pronounced in the so-called Millennial
Generation, citizens between the ages of 18 and 29, according to the
poll. They are generally much less worried about international
terrorism, immigration, and the rise of China and are far less
supportive of an activist U.S. approach to foreign affairs than older
groups, it found.
Political independents, who will likely play a decisive role in the
outcome of November’s presidential election, also tend more than either
Republicans or Democrats to oppose interventionist policies in world
affairs, according to the survey, which was released at the Wilson
Center for International Scholars here Monday by the Chicago Council on
Global Affairs (CCGA).
The survey results suggest that more aggressive and militaristic
policies adopted by Republicans at their convention last month may be
out of step with both independents and younger voters.
“If you read the whole report,” noted Daniel Drezner, an
international relations professor who blogs at ForeignPolicy.com,
“what’s striking is how much the majority view on foreign policy jibes
with what the Obama administration has been doing in the world: military
retrenchment from the Middle East, a reliance on diplomacy and
sanctions to deal with rogue states, a refocusing on East Asia, and
prudent cuts in defense spending.”
For the first time since the Council posed the question in 1994, a
majority of its nearly 1,900 adult respondents said they believe that
Asia is more important to the United States than Europe.
Reflecting perhaps the so-called “pivot” by the administration of
President Barack Obama from the Middle East to Asia, 52 percent of
respondents said Asia was more important, a 10-percent increase over the
Council’s 2010 survey result. The Pew Research Center found a similar
change in its own survey earlier this year.
The survey, which was conducted in late May and early June, also
found strong resistance by the public to becoming more deeply involved —
especially militarily — in the Middle East, despite the perception by
seven in 10 respondents that the region is more threatening to U.S.
security than any other.
For the first time since 9/11, majorities said they opposed the
retention or establishment of long-term U.S. military bases in Iraq or
Afghanistan.
At the same time, 70 percent of respondents said they opposed a
unilateral U.S. strike on Iran’s nuclear facilities; and almost as many
(59 percent) said the U.S. should not ally itself militarily with Israel
if the Jewish state attacks Iran.
The survey, which was released on the eve of the 11th anniversary of
the 9/11 attacks on New York City and Pentagon, suggested that the U.S.
wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, combined with the continuing hardships of
the 2008 global financial crisis, have soured much of the public on
foreign intervention, especially military intervention.
“Ten years after 9/11, we see that Americans are in the process of
recalibrating their views on international engagement and searching for
less costly ways to project positive U.S. influence and protect American
interests around the world,” said Marshall Bouton, CCFR’s longtime
president.
“Now, with a strong sense that the wars have overstretched our
military and strained our economic resources, they prefer to avoid the
use of military force if at all possible,” he noted.
Indeed, the survey found that a record 67 percent of the public now
believes the war in Iraq was “not worth it,” while seven of 10
respondents agreed that “the experience of the Iraq war should make
nations more cautious about using military force.”
Sixty-nine percent said the war in Afghanistan either made “no
difference” to U.S. security (51 percent) or that it made the country
“less safe” (18 percent).
The degree of disillusion with foreign affairs in light of the past
decade was perhaps most starkly illustrated by the answers to the binary
question of whether respondents thought it best for the U.S. to “take
an active part in world affairs” or “stay out of world affairs.”
Led by the Millennials (52 percent), 38 percent of all respondents
opted for the latter — the highest percentage since just after World War
II and seven points higher than in 2010, according to the Council’s
analysis. A majority of 61 percent said Washington should take an
“active part” — the smallest majority since 1998.
Nearly eight in 10 respondents (78 percent) said they believe the
U.S. is playing the role of world policeman more than it should — a
figure that has been constant since 2004, a year after the Iraq
invasion.
“While they see leadership as desirable,” according to the Council
analysis, “Americans clearly reject the role of the United States as a
hyperpower and want to take a more cooperative stance.”
Indeed 56 percent now agree with the proposition that Washington
should be “more willing to make decisions within the United Nations”
even if such decisions are not its first choice. That is a marked
increase from a historic low of 50 percent in 2010.
Most respondents said they were not concerned about the growing
influence of emerging nations in Asia and elsewhere. Asked for their
reaction to increased foreign policy independence of countries like
Turkey and Brazil, nearly seven in 10 respondents (69 percent) agreed
that it was “mostly good” because of their reduced reliance on the U.S.
rather than that it was “mostly bad because then they are likely to do
things the U.S. does not support.”
The survey found persistent support for a large military — 53 percent
said they believed “maintaining superior military power” is a “very
important” foreign policy goal. But that was down from 67 percent in
2002, shortly after 9/11.
Contrary to Republican demands that the defense budget should be
increased, two-thirds of respondents said it should be cut, and half of
those said it should be cut the same or more than other government
programs.
And while Republicans continue to attack Obama for “leading from
behind” during last year’s intervention in Libya, Bouton said his survey
results found that the public was quite comfortable with the low-key
role.
Only seven percent said Washington should have taken the “leading
role” in the military campaign; 72 percent said it should have taken “a
minor role” (31 percent) or “a major but not leading role” (41 percent).
Nineteen percent said the U.S. should not have participated at all.
Republican politicians have also mocked Obama for offering to
negotiate directly with hostile states. But more than two-thirds of
respondents said Washington should be ready to hold talks with the
leaders of Cuba (73 percent), North Korea (69 percent), and Iran (67
percent).
The survey found that self-described Republicans generally see the world as more hostile and threatening than Democrats.
The most striking differences between members of the two parties were
found over immigration, climate change, and the Middle East,
particularly on Israel-related issues, with Republicans siding much more
strongly with Israel on the Israeli-Palestinian conflict and in the
event of an Israeli attack on Iran.
(Inter Press Service)