Reapers and Red Lines: The Downing of an American Drone

On March 14, A Russian jet collided with a US drone, leading to the downing of the drone in the Black Sea. The US says that the drone was flying in international airspace when two Russian Su-27 fighter jets made nineteen high-speed passes near the drone before dumping jet fuel on it in an attempt … Continue reading “Reapers and Red Lines: The Downing of an American Drone”

The Minsk Deception and the Planned War in Donbas

There is a historically possible world in which the Minsk Agreement never needed to be made. In 2014, a US supported coup removed the democratically elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, with his eastern base, and replaced him with a West leaning president who was handpicked by the US. Assistant Secretary of State for European and … Continue reading “The Minsk Deception and the Planned War in Donbas”

Does Canada Support Regime Change in Russia?

It may have been "a Freudian slip of the tongue," as Russia’s ambassador to Canada called it, but at a press conference on March 10, Canada’s Foreign Affairs Minister, Mélanie Joly, raised the possibility of regime change in Russia. Addressing the importance of diplomatic pressure on Russia, Joly said that "We’re able to see how much … Continue reading “Does Canada Support Regime Change in Russia?”

China Brokers Agreement Between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Sidelining the US

Until it happened, it was unthinkable. The US has for decades guarded its role as the sole negotiator in the Middle East. It has insisted on being the chief arbiter of agreements and the architect and decider of partnerships. But on March 10, China emerged as the broker of a transformative agreement between Iran and … Continue reading “China Brokers Agreement Between Iran and Saudi Arabia, Sidelining the US”

Who Did Blow Up the Nord Stream Pipeline?

In September 2022, the Nord Stream gas pipelines exploded in one of the most spectacular political and environmental acts of terrorism in history. In the days immediately following the attack, which cut Germany and Europe off from its gas supply and released enormous amounts of methane gas into the atmosphere, the West immediately pronounced judgement … Continue reading “Who Did Blow Up the Nord Stream Pipeline?”

Why Is the US So Unhappy That China Offered a Peace Proposal?

On February 24, China published its "Position on the Political Settlement of the Ukraine Crisis." The US reacted very negatively very quickly. They reacted more negatively even than Ukraine. What is it about the Chinese proposal that so unnerves the US? It is not even a fully developed settlement proposal ripe for negotiation. There was … Continue reading “Why Is the US So Unhappy That China Offered a Peace Proposal?”

The US Is in Conflict With Countries for Doing Things We Know They’re Not Doing

China, Balloons, and Spying On February 4, the US military shot down a Chinese balloon they claim was a surveillance balloon spying on US territory. The unprecedented "kinetic action against an airborne object . . . within United States or American airspace" was followed by three more objects being shot down by the US and … Continue reading “The US Is in Conflict With Countries for Doing Things We Know They’re Not Doing”

The Coming Battle for the Liberation of Cuba

The US loudly proclaims that large, belligerent powers should listen when the world is united against their hostility toward their smaller neighbors. The world is united against the US. In thirty consecutive votes since 1992, the UN General Assembly has overwhelmingly condemned the US embargo of Cuba. In the most recent vote, on November 3, … Continue reading “The Coming Battle for the Liberation of Cuba”

Public Versus Private: Managing Perceptions of the War in Ukraine

"I want Russia to be defeated in Ukraine," French President Emmanuel Macron publicly told the media. But it’s not what he privately told Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky. He also said that now is not the right time for dialogue with Moscow and that France is ready to sustain "a longer conflict." That’s not what he … Continue reading “Public Versus Private: Managing Perceptions of the War in Ukraine”

Ukraine: The Violence Before the Violence

The violence in Ukraine is unimaginable. But before the violence, there was violence. The military conflict in Ukraine has received an unprecedented amount of media coverage. The major US networks have given more coverage to Russia’s war in Ukraine than they did to America’s war in Iraq. But there were very important military dimensions prior … Continue reading “Ukraine: The Violence Before the Violence”