Libya: Dreams of Western Intervention
The crisis in Libya is quickly becoming an international embarrassment. Not, this time, because of Gadhafi’s clowinsh antics, but because it provides a spectacular opportunity for the world to see just how much Western power has declined during the last decade.
Despite being the most powerful nation on earth, and having a military apparatus on a scale greater than the sum of every other country, the US has patently failed to impose its solutions in Iraq, Afghanistan and Pakistan. Far from America being able to force the Ayatollahs into submission, Iran gains strategic ground every day. The financial crisis has paralyzed the power of Western finance. Western central bankers have had to go begging to China and the oil rich countries for loans. The Arab revolt of 2011 has now destroyed the exclusive grip Anglo-American rule once had in the region.
And now Libya promises to make explicit the powerlessness of the West. As Laurence Pope, ex-political advisor to the US "Central Command" and ex-ambassador to Tripoli told Le Monde in a sobering assessment, "Washington finds itself in a situation where there are only bad options and others that are worse."
What has been the response in Europe? The European Left and the liberal bourgeoisie remain very interventionist and are firm believers in "humanitarian bombing." They are clamoring for a muscular Nato intervention along Balkan lines. An editorial in Left-leaning Guardian supports the call by liberal Lord Owen that "military preparations should be made and the necessary diplomatic approaches, above all to the Russians and the Chinese, set in train to secure UN authority for such action." Should the crisis continue, the Guardian argues, "intervention on the ground would have to be considered. The Egyptian army has the means, other Arab countries could contribute, and western forces could help." Yes, and it would all be over by Christmas.
It is obvious that these war enthusiasts have not thought this through – but then they would not be doing any of the fighting. The plain fact is that there are no feasible military interventions even if the major powers could agree on an intervention plan, which is very far from being the case. Consider the options.
Imposing a no fly zone. This would require extensive air patrols by foreign air forces. They would have little effect since air power is not key to Gadhafi’s strategy. It would, however, create an atmosphere of major war and give Gadhafi a propaganda boost.
Creating a military barrier or cordon sanitaire around eastern Libya to protect rebel positions. Likewise this would crystallize the situation into a two-sided war, which could only play into Gadhafi’s hands. It is to the advantage of those that want to topple Gadhafi to avoid a war of entrenchment or fixed positions, preventing them from permeating every level of society and undermine further his crumbing power base. In any case such Western intervention would be impossible to implement. No Western commander is going to deploy troops at short notice into a theater unknown to his troops but well-known to an enemy who, in any case, cannot be easily distinguished from friendly forces. It is a recipe for disaster.
Sending in a "peace keeping" African Union force to separate the parties. One way to unite every Libyan behind Gadhafi, given the reputation of such forces in the past.
Sending in a "peace keeping" force made up of troops from Arab countries as The Guardian recommends. One way to unite every Libyan behind Gadhafi and infect and inflame the whole of the Middle East with the vicissitudes of a Libyan civil war.
Bomb. But where? Tripoli? Gadhafi’s hideout? In addition to the lack of any meaningful target, Western bombing might give others the idea of bombing targets that are indeed of great strategic value: oil wells and pipe lines.
Sanctions. Libya’s massively long borders are totally porous and populated by peoples and countries keen to do business and who don’t give a damn about UN Security Council resolutions. On the contrary, given the strategic importance of Libyan oil and gas to several European nations, Libya is the only country in a position to apply effective sanctions against anyone else. The price of oil has already shot up to $110. Watch how the Italians start screaming in the next couple of weeks if the crisis goes on much longer.
Unsurprisingly, Cameron and Sarkozy are making angry statements but otherwise are just looking at their shoes.
Read more by Susil Gupta
- The Hand that Feeds – March 2nd, 2011





andy
February 25th, 2011 at 10:57 pm
Minding our own business is always the best policy. And its free.
JLS
February 25th, 2011 at 11:05 pm
Nah that actually makes sense,
leon
February 26th, 2011 at 4:40 am
So we should sit and watch them die? Or encourage peaceful forms of resistence to mercenaries hired to kill?
All it takes for evil to triumph is for good people to do nothing
Gaddafi was on tv live for about 30 minutes in a known location – plenty of time for a rocket from a nearby ship or plane.
JohnDowser
February 26th, 2011 at 5:41 am
Good article and intervention is indeed a pipe dream, dreamed by folks who only know the world through TV and stale ideology. The price might be high, possibly thousands of death and an economy in ruins, but nothing needs to be "fixed" by outsiders right now. It's already broken, partly because of earlier foreign embrace and manipulation of the regime. The only fix lies in melt down and resurrection. The Libyans have all the cards to make or break their own future country. It can only be hoped they understand it won't be easy and it might take decades to see improvements inside their wallets.
Jaime
February 26th, 2011 at 7:21 am
And who exactly are the good people?
abiman
February 26th, 2011 at 8:10 am
Never ask a thief to look after your bag even if you have to run to bathroom in a busy airport.
JLS
February 26th, 2011 at 8:40 am
Yes, unfortuntely sitting and watching them die is exactly what we should do. Another way of putting it is this-should we watch American soldiers die to defend other people's countries? Our armed forces should exist for defense purposes only, not to social engineer the world.
Raashid
February 26th, 2011 at 8:47 am
Yeah but "they" aren't just dying. Some of the Libyan Army has joined the people's rebellion and have still got their weapons. And as Jaime alluded to already, "we" might not be the good people doing nothing anyway.
andy
February 26th, 2011 at 11:36 am
The flaw in your smug self-righteousness Leon, is a lack of specifics, a lethal vagueness at the very heart of Wilsonian interventionism.
1) Who are the "good people"?
2) What "peaceful" resistance do you suggest?
3) What makes you think we know what's best for Libya or its people?
4) What makes you think they want our "help"?
Finally given America's sad track record of intervention, I feel quite confident in saying Libya would be better off in every possible way if America left it alone.
VietnamWarVet
February 27th, 2011 at 6:58 am
"Thousands of rebels killed in Libya"??
And was it tens of thousands of Iraqis killed by the US in its illegal invasion of that country?
And how many thousands has the US killed in yet another illegal invasion of Afghanistan?
The "good guys" – who are they?
paulBass
February 27th, 2011 at 11:56 am
i assume you would then have supported the chinese bombing the white house to prevent the current slaughter of innocent people across the middle east?
Guest
February 27th, 2011 at 6:24 pm
Then there is Rothschild Central Banks that stand to gain by backing these revolutions…
http://bbnworldnews.com/newspost/rothschilds-stag…
Guest
February 27th, 2011 at 6:33 pm
I'd rather see the entire Whore House move to Israel and take K Street and Wall St with it!