Was Putin Really Serious About the Minsk Accords?

The trouble started in 2014. A US supported coup took out the democratically elected Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovych, with his eastern base, and replaced him with a West leaning president who was handpicked by the US. Victoria Nuland, who is now Acting Deputy Secretary of State and who was then Assistant Secretary of State for … Continue reading “Was Putin Really Serious About the Minsk Accords?”

Who Killed Yevgeny Prigozhin?

Although Wagner leader Yevgeni Prigozhin had reportedly been banished to Belarus after his brief and spectacularly unsuccessful rebellion, he seemingly enjoyed a surprising freedom of movement. He apparently traveled between Belarus and Africa and traveled frequently between St. Petersburg and Moscow. He even made a very public and conspicuous appearance in July at the Russia-Africa … Continue reading “Who Killed Yevgeny Prigozhin?”

Biden’s Blunder: Three Costly Mistakes in Ukraine

US President Joe Biden’s policy in the war in Ukraine has been clear from the beginning: to put Ukraine in the best position “on the battlefield [to] be in the strongest possible position at the negotiating table” while being careful “not fight the third world war in Ukraine.” There has been a lot less clarity … Continue reading “Biden’s Blunder: Three Costly Mistakes in Ukraine”

Prigozhin Is Gone, but Wagner Is Everywhere

At the end of June, 2023, Wagner leader Yevgeny Prigozhin’s coup attempt quickly began and quickly ended. Officials in the political West were quick to diagnose the weakness in Putin’s government and the vulnerability in Russia’s forces in Ukraine. Neither diagnosis turned out to be true. Putin seems to have emerged, not only unscathed by … Continue reading “Prigozhin Is Gone, but Wagner Is Everywhere”

The Global South Stands Up

As Ukraine’s counteroffensive and chances of winning the war begin to show signs of falling apart, and the realization that, eventually, Ukraine will end the war only through negotiations begins to dawn, Kiev has begun a campaign of conferences to court the neutral global south, or what Russia now calls the global majority, to their … Continue reading “The Global South Stands Up”

Ukraine, NATO, and the Polish Problem

Poland has been one of the most assertive proponents of Ukraine’s entry into NATO and of NATO’s escalating involvement in the war, from providing tanks to providing fighter jets. As Ukraine’s chances of rapid entry into NATO have faded and their chances of victory in the war are falling apart, there has been talk of … Continue reading “Ukraine, NATO, and the Polish Problem”

Everyone Chose the Military Option

There was a whole menu of peaceful ways the war in Ukraine could have been prevented. NATO could have kept its promise and not expanded east to Russia’s borders and across its long advertized “brightest of all red lines,” as now CIA Director and then Ambassador to Russia William Buns called Ukraine in 2008. Ukraine … Continue reading “Everyone Chose the Military Option”

Talking to Russia: Five Things You Won’t Believe Are Being Said Behind Closed Doors

On July 6, it was revealed that secret back-channel talks have been held between former US officials and “prominent Russians believed to be close to the Kremlin.” The US officials do not represent the White House but have briefed the White House. Though no current US officials have participated in the talks, on the Russian … Continue reading “Talking to Russia: Five Things You Won’t Believe Are Being Said Behind Closed Doors”

America’s Cruel War Policy in Ukraine

In the early days, the war in Ukraine had not escalated into the dangerous NATO-Russia nightmare that it is today. The massive amounts of death and destruction was not yet imagined. Though "the news keeps repeating that Putin is targeting civilians," according to a senior analyst at the Defense Intelligence Agency in March 2022, "there … Continue reading “America’s Cruel War Policy in Ukraine”