A new documentary series created by Stephen Hawking posits the mathematical certainty of extraterrestrial life – but the brilliant theoretical scientist recommends against trying to establish contact. “To my mathematical brain, the numbers [of planets] alone make thinking about aliens perfectly rational,” Hawking says. “The real challenge is to work out what aliens might actually be like.” That’s where the sense of caution sets in, because if they’re anything like us – rapacious warlike predators – then perhaps keeping a certain amount of distance is the better part of valor. As Hawking puts it:
“We only have to look at ourselves to see how intelligent life might develop into something we wouldn’t want to meet. I imagine they might exist in massive ships, having used up all the resources from their home planet. Such advanced aliens would perhaps become nomads, looking to conquer and colonize whatever planets they can reach.”
Hey, wait a minute: is he talking about the aliens – or us? Untethered from solid ground – and from reality – rampaging across the known universe, plundering everything in their path. That sounds like our ruling class, all right, and it’s certainly no surprise they’re extending their hubris into outer space, as the Times of London reports:
“The mysterious X37B, launched successfully by the US Air Force from Cape Canaveral on Thursday … is officially described as an orbital test vehicle. However, one of its potential uses appears to be to launch a surge of small satellites during periods of high international tension. This would enable America to have eyes and ears orbiting above any potential troublespot in the world.”
Oh, those troublesome “troublespots” – like Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Texas. No need to worry, however: the US government has got just the fix. The X37B perfectly embodies our rulers’ faith in science and technology as the answer to all their problems, including the age-old political and military problem of how to impose their will on an unwilling populace. The Pentagon has a plan:
“The X37B can stay in orbit for up to 270 days, whereas the Shuttle can last only 16 days. This will provide the US with the ability to carry out experiments for long periods, including the testing of new laser weapon systems.”
Good old American ingenuity, I see it’s making a comeback, albeit in the most malign manner imaginable. At any rate, we’re ready for those space aliens. Or are we? Hawking opines:
“If aliens ever visit us, I think the outcome would be much as when Christopher Columbus first landed in America, which didn’t turn out very well for the Native Americans.”
He’s right about there being a danger in humans meeting up with extraterrestrials, except the ones at risk aren’t us earthmen – it’s the aliens who have the most to fear. Hawking’s science-fictional vision of hi-tech nomads roaming the universe in search of enemies is in reality a projection of the Western mindset onto the limitless reaches of space.
As the US rampages across the globe, imposing its will, one can easily imagine how we’ll act once we get to outer space – without going to see “Avatar.” Just as the logic of a foreign policy based on US military, political, and cultural supremacy has led us to invade and occupy large portions of the earth, so the same mentality will inevitably lead to interplanetary imperialism – which, first of all, will be about completing the conquest of our own planet.
Laser weapons circling the globe, aimed at whomever is deemed the enemy of the moment – that’s the ideal setup for the boys in Washington, who will just have to push a few buttons and – Ka-BOOM! That takes care of that….
Once the world-planners and would-be world conquerors consolidate their power on Terra – complete with a world government, a global income tax, and, most important of all, a World Central Bank – they’ll rev up their engines, build a souped-up version of the X37B, and get ready to “liberate” the stars. Obama is already talking about a Mars mission. Before they can do that, however, a few events back home on earth may interrupt their plans – bankruptcy, for one, and a massive economic meltdown.
As we thrust outward, the inner core is rotting and ready to bring the whole structure down. Empire-building, whether on earth or in the heavens, is a huge drain on our resources, one we can ill afford at the moment. As Garet Garrett, the Jeremiah of the old “isolationist” right, put it: the American empire is unique in human history in that “everything goes out, and nothing comes in.” The last American President will be announcing yet another glorious “victory” in our War on Everyone – perhaps the conquest of Altair V – even as the bankers foreclose on the heavily-mortgaged White House.
Unless, of course, the American people wake up, and realize their country is committing suicide. There are some hopeful signs that this is indeed happening, or could happen, but so far I wouldn’t bet the farm on it. As long as the US government can build and launch the X37B without telling the American taxpayers either how much it costs or what purpose it serves, without facing a public outcry, our doom is sealed.
No need to worry about the threat of an invasion from outer space: the real space aliens, the real threat to our existence, isn’t coming from outer space. It comes straight from the planet Washington, D.C.
NOTES IN THE MARGIN
My biography of the libertarian theorist Murray N. Rothbard, An Enemy of the State, published in 2000 by Prometheus Books, is now in a Kindle edition for $9.95, and is available from Amazon via Amazon Whispernet.
The Hill, the newspaper of record for all things political in Washington, D.C., posts a daily comment by yours truly on the "The Big Question." Go check it out and give those guys some traffic.
Correction: In my column on Nick Clegg, the rising star of British politics, I stated that the Liberal Democrats are a "right-wing split-off" from the Labor party. Wrong. In fact, they trace their lineage to the old Liberal party, which merged with the Social Democrat party (which was indeed a right-wing split from Labor) to form the LibDems. This was a particularly stupid error in that it missed the essential point that Clegg and his party look to the old classical liberal tradition of individual liberal, government accountability, and a non-interventionist foreign policy, which was the basis of the Liberal worldview. This is what the evil Gordon Brown meant when he contemptuously referred to Clegg as a "Little Englander." A truly dumb mistake for a libertarian to make: if you don’t recognize, let alone honor, your own intellectual ancestors, then how can you know who you are or what you believe?
My apologies. I promise to do better in the future.
Read more by Justin Raimondo
- Edward Snowden vs. the Sovietization of America – June 18th, 2013
- A Note to My Readers – June 16th, 2013
- Datagate and the Death of American Liberalism – June 13th, 2013
- Smear Brigade Goes After Snowden – June 11th, 2013
- Edward Snowden, American Hero – June 9th, 2013





mick perry
April 26th, 2010 at 4:23 am
I also suspect that any advanced life forms who have managed to traverse the space/time continuum are giving Planet Earth a wide berth. They'd have to be crazy to do otherwise.
MoT
April 26th, 2010 at 6:23 am
I wouldn't bat an eye over purported alien invasions. Now a zombie "apocalypse"? That's happening before our very eyes in D.C. They're in control and looking to feast on us all.
guest
April 26th, 2010 at 8:59 am
Aliens?That has to be a joke.America is in bad shape.The upper class and the prosperous upper middle class are doing well but visit a Walmart or a super market in a fringe area on the first of the month when the food stamps are issued and you will see the real story in our country.The Congress is corrupt,the President is weak and America's infrastructure is geared for a time that no longer exists. The only plans coming from the top are more of the same with a tiny bit of change thrown in now and then,a formula from the past that no longer works.With what is coming down the pipeline,people are going to wish it was just an alien invasion that they were facing.
Wolfgang
April 26th, 2010 at 10:08 am
When the founding fathers of the US stated that the coutry should stay out of wars oversees and especially of those in Europe, that was probably not just good intention but also good judgment in that times power relations. In the meantime an empire has established which makes almost every war possible and with a dependent media system (stressing the Democracy idea) almost looking like moral. Hawkins is one of the sciensts I admire too. Natural sciencuists still have some moral attitudes other than those historians, philosophers, sociologists, and journalists and whatever who are responsible for Obama's Nobel Peace Prize.
One of our better song writers W. Biermann wrote:
Was haben wir denn an Ihnen verlorn,
an unseren deutschen Professorn,
die wirklich manches besser wuessten,
wenn sie nicht so gut fressen muessten.
mick perry
April 26th, 2010 at 4:22 am
Justin you did just fine on the Lib Dems, who are a hybrid of the Liberals and the Social Democratic Party. The SDP were the right wingers who dug their knives into the old Labour Party in the 1980's, as the Neo -Liberal experiment of Thatcher and Reagan was unfolding. No apologies are necessary.
Peaceful_Idiot
April 26th, 2010 at 12:48 pm
Think of the bright side, if they have a big mothership in orbit around earth it might save us a hellish three month voyage as cargo back to their home planet.
Peaceful_Idiot
April 26th, 2010 at 12:48 pm
Think of the bright side, if they have a big mothership in orbit around earth it might save us a hellish three month voyage as cargo back to their home planet.
Peaceful_Idiot
April 26th, 2010 at 12:48 pm
Think of the bright side, if they have a big mothership in orbit around earth it might save us a hellish three month voyage as cargo back to their home planet.
dragonflapper
April 26th, 2010 at 6:22 am
the shape of things allready foregone, that things not built for comfort or speed,true battlestar built for war,whatever that word ever meant,mostly escape, back to the home planet,women & children first,oo,in the district of columbias' case that just might be about whair thuban used to be the north star before it turned into the eagle nebulla,tragic,in agent zions' case home is whair the "soul is"in this case next to Sirius, the "dog star also once, "long long ago" a pole star,of course the poles have been changed to protect thair magnetic polarity,what else, nova crab nebulousity, major toms' coming home,the more things change shapes the more the 50's look like the 90's,I'm with the alein god police and have been sent to show your leader how to chain slavery to the masters of war disease's instruments and devices,giving freedom at least a democratic chance to live,& the democratic arts(control & a wild guess) escape from the planet below the insane,come back someday and eat the rich if wealth be a twisted cross,wretched,wicked & treasonous symbols used to brainwash and brandish the threats of cowards and invertabrites not of a constitutional state of affairs,run space trash run
uberVU - social comments
April 26th, 2010 at 6:38 am
Social comments and analytics for this post…
This post was mentioned on Twitter by Antiwarcom: Antiwar.com The Alien Menace!: A new documentary series created by Stephen Hawking posits the mathematical cert… http://bit.ly/dddGov…
guest
April 26th, 2010 at 7:19 am
What is happening to antiwar, when a big story is about Israel letting in Ipads? This is a Lowpoint.
epppie
April 26th, 2010 at 5:00 pm
Hawkins is a propaganda menace. It's little recognized that cosmology is a 'science' that in some ways grew out of the nuclear weapons program and can be seen as a propaganda appendage to that program. Hawkins, in particular, is a overhyped Weapon of Mass Propaganda. Not satisfied with earthly Terra, now we get Galactic Terra.
MoT
April 26th, 2010 at 5:27 pm
Now, now…. If conquering aliens beamed down the only "collaborators" they'd recognize would be the rat bastards we all have for "leaders" today.
Lloyd G.
April 26th, 2010 at 11:30 am
The deeper and more intractable the crisis, the more delusional the leadership. Religion used to be the opiate. Now it's blind faith in 'science' that addles mens' minds.
Chas
April 26th, 2010 at 7:14 pm
Why Raimondo's sarcastic jab at Texas , ostensibly over Gov. Perry's bluster about "secession" which happened last year ( already ! ) ? It's really not such a bad idea, and there is nothing "illegal" about it – the Constitution explicitly enjoins from acts of rebellion, ie basically protracted rioting, not from a popularly mandated (re-)assertion of a State's sovereignity as declared by that State's dully constituted Legislature, upon which question the Constitution is strangely silent. The question of States' sovereignity was an issue, according to Madison, who chronicled the procedings of the Constitutional Convention and several New England States have included this right to leave the Union in their own constitutions to this day.
Peaceful_Idiot
April 26th, 2010 at 12:48 pm
Think of the bright side, if they have a big mothership in orbit around earth it might save us a hellish three month voyage as cargo back to their home planet.
Nelson_2008
April 26th, 2010 at 8:44 pm
While we await the arrival of, hopefully, Klaatu and Gort, here's some excellent reading material:
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2010/04/26/when-will…
Nelson_2008
April 26th, 2010 at 8:44 pm
While we await the arrival of, hopefully, Klaatu and Gort, here's some excellent reading material:
http://www.veteranstoday.com/2010/04/26/when-will…
hoct
April 26th, 2010 at 2:35 pm
One thing is certain. If the aliens decide to invade they are going to find plenty willing collaborators down here on Earth. All those folks brutalised in the Middle East, Central Asia, Latin America and the Balkans? I bet a chunk of them wouldn't think twice before changing American hegemony for Alien hegemony. Bring on the ET, how much worse can it be?
paulBass
April 26th, 2010 at 4:48 pm
the one point that is missing is that any aliens that make it to space travel,must alteast have gotten past the whole collective suicide thing we are still struggling with on our little wanderer
GeoffreyTransom
April 27th, 2010 at 10:33 am
Hawking's hypothesis stems from the same level of "static expectations" as the SETI project: that is; Hawking assumes that social rapacity diminishes only slowly as technology improves, and that technologically-advanced aliens would not have got past the "expropriate the colonies" mantra that only works if your opponents (a) don't resort to 4G warfare; and (b) only have pointed sticks.
We – humans – are within a generation of passing the 'knee' of our technological development curve (I speak here of Kurzweilian 'Strong AI' and Drexlerian nanomanufacture); thereafter, territorial expansionism in search of resources will become as near to meaningless as makes no odds.
I view it as almost a fortiori true that any civilization that is more than a generation more advanced than we are, would have no incentive to pursue interstellar colonialism/imperialism… put simply, the only reason they would bother to visit us (in microscopic vessels housing virtual personalities) would be to study primitivism… andthey could do that using only undetectable 'drone probes'. Why the fuck would any advanced civilisation want to INTERACT with a bunch of half-developed tribal simians with a penchant for genociding their own?
Since they would not need our resources, and would have no incentive to engage with us socially, we should never expect a 'Star Trek' style "First Contact".
(As to the SETI reference: the SETI project was conditioned on HIGH WATTAGE BROADCAST radio waves; our own experience shows that as technology improves we have moved from HIGH to LOW wattage, and from BROAD to NARROW cast: in other words, SETI was set up to try anfd find a society of the same level of technological advancement as 1950s America – it would struggle to detect the radio emissions from 21st century earth).
Cheerio
GT
How's that! An entire post where nobody mentions da Joo (although I was close in my talk of "half-developed tribal simians").
OH, and PS… ScienceDaily has a terrific post about how IBM has built a nanoscale relief map of the earth; it took their machine under 3 minutes to do it. In other words, the tools required to build Drexlerian nano-componentry now exist (20 years before Drexler hypothesised they would become available)
Novista
April 28th, 2010 at 2:49 am
We had the fictional warning from Jack Finney in 1954 — or was it prophetic?
Yes, the truth is: the pod people control Washington, D.C.
ScuzzaMan
April 28th, 2010 at 3:42 pm
You assume that mankinds ruthless quest for power is driven by scarcity, but it isn't. It is driven by our lust for power, and that lust has never, under any circumstances, ever been assuaged. Those who came into the sort of power you describe – assuming it is possible, which I dont necessarily accept – would use it to control all those who dont possess it.
Far from being the emergence of a utopian time of plenty and peace, it would introduce a new dark age of complete and utter tyranny beyond all hope of challenge by the dispossessed.
You better hope you're wrong about your predictions of AI and nanomanufacture.
(I am comforted by the fact that AI has been promising "any time now" for a lot longer than a generation.)
Dan2
April 28th, 2010 at 3:56 pm
" a projection of the Western mindset onto the limitless reaches of space"….brilliant!
Philodemos
April 28th, 2010 at 10:09 pm
To borrow from Calvin and Hobbes: I think the best indication there is intelligent life elsewhere in the universe is that they HAVEN'T tried to contact us yet…
GeoffreyTransom
April 29th, 2010 at 12:27 am
Hi there ScuzzaMan,
Although I credit myself with the coining of the term 'homo cheneyensis' as the term for people who lust after power (and in Cheney's case, fresh babies for dinner)… well, with that said, I think that nanomanufacture severely disrupts the ability of the ponerocracy to continue their quest for power. (I'll get to AI in a paragraph or two).
It is my view that the 'pure power-seeking' hypothesis only applies weakly: at the start of any expansionist venture, the accumulation of power is a sideline to a resource grab. Furthermore, expansionist ventures that fail to accrete resources – on net – eventually lead to the fall of empires: the slaves withdraw their support as increased territorial gain fails to produce better quality of life for the populace at large. Think Rome, the USSR and the current US: all of them continued empire-building past the point where the returns to expansion went through zero and became net negatives.
(Note I am NOT arguing that homo cheneyensis does not desire power over an ever-larger swathe of humanity – just that there is a 'consumer theory' rationale for it: this rationale is the underlying reason why the political class will try and stymie nano-assembly AND Strong AI).
I wrote about this in about 1995 while I was a grad student: basically, it is my thesis that people like Cheney are motivated by widening, to the extent possible, the gap between themselves and the 'masses'. That is, for a fairly large range from current conditions, they would not object to a reduction in 'the size of the pie' so long as their share of the pie grew. They continue to attempt to accumulate wealth past the point at which the marginal utility of money is negligible (since consumption satiety has been achieved) solely to feel better as a result of this 'wide gap' back to the majority: this is the primary driver of their utililty functional.
It is pretty much accepted that a 'normal' utility functional will exhibit this behaviour only locally – that everyone wants to be better off than average, but at some point diminishing marginal valuation of money sets in … and furthermore, for normal people "more is better" trumps "I have a bigger slice of the pie than you" (the marginal utility of 'stuff' does not get overpowered by the marginal utility of a bigger gap back to the masses).
So while homo cheneyensis is prepared to set fire to the world so long as they can still live in palaces, the masses want their amount of stuff to grow and for wealth relativities to not get too far out of whack (we are starting to hear mutterings now about the static nature of the middle classes relative to the overlords).
There is, then, a tension between the utility functions of homo cheneyensis and that of homo sapiens; once the pursuit of power fails to augment the lives of the middle class, the decline begins.
As to how AI and nanotech undermine political power: nanotech first… increasing productivity ten thousand-fold means that 'normal' humans can achieve consumption satiety with very little effort and at staggeringly low cost. This will reduce their preparedness to support any interventionist political agenda (since support for such agendae are almost always self-serving) – there is no 'what's in it for me?' question left to ask when nobody starves anymore (for the Left) and everyone can have their own Nascar (for the mouth-breathers who form the base for the Right).
And for AI, it seems obvious to me that an AI would correctly predict that trade and voluntary exchange is the long-term dominant strategy in any multi-period game; from the perspective of the (current) 'Top Nation', having to deal with possible bouts of buyers' remorse from your client states is a lot easier than periodic blowback from simmering discontent at having been raped (think "September 11th").
The only caveat to the dominance of voluntary exchange, is if a conqueror is prepared to wipe out aggrieved counterparties in their entirety, at the first hint of dissent… but then you will find that others will not want to deal with you and unless you have no technological leakage, you will lose in the end (think of the British in New Zealand: they arrived with an unprecedented technological and strategic superiority, and LOST… FOUR TIMES… as the Maori got hold of their weapons tech).
Your idea that homo cheneyensis will try to utilise AI and nanotech as tools of subjugation has merit, but only short term. The moment a Drexlerian 'universal assembler' exists, control over its distribution will be impossible; the moment that happens, homo cheneyensis will have to make do with having all its material wants fulfilled (like the rest of us). That is to say, the political parasite class will suffer a fall in utility due SOLELY to the masses being brought UP.
(I view homo cheneyensis as a separate species: looks like human, smells like human, but has a hard-wired lack of empathy… and if humanity is to progress, homo cheneyensis should be wiped out or culled until it promises to behave or is numerically unable to wreak havoc).
Cheerio
GT