Although President Barack Obama has more empathy for the opinions of the Islamic world than his predecessor and seems to vaguely understand that they do affect U.S. security, he doesn’t seem to understand specifically that U.S. meddling in and occupation of Muslim countries inflames Islamic radicals and is the main cause of blowback anti-U.S. Islamist terrorism.
In Afghanistan, Obama has already thrown in more troops and will probably be goaded by the military and conservatives into further escalation. This despite a timeline that appears to indicate that the insurgency grows as a reaction to increased foreign presence in the country. Up until 2005, U.S. forces were stationed mainly in Kabul, and the Taliban presence in Afghanistan was minimal. During 2005, U.S. forces moved out into the rest of the country; strangely (or not so strangely) the Taliban resurgence began in 2006. In other words, escalating the number of U.S. forces has the counterproductive effect of merely escalating the conflict.
Obama and the rest of the bipartisan foreign policy establishment have ignored this glaring fact largely because the reverse is perceived to have happened in Iraq. A U.S. troop surge in 2007 there appears to have significantly dampened ethno-sectarian mayhem and the rebellion against the U.S. occupier. Yet many experts say the surge had less to do with reducing the violence than did the sectarian separation from prior ethnic cleansing and paying off the Sunni guerrillas not to fight U.S. occupying forces. After all, for the Iraqi election in 2005, U.S. forces had the same number of troops as during the surge, yet chaos reined. And Iraq is "not over till it’s over," as the recent massive bombings of Iraqi government buildings have shown. The restive Sunni militias have not been integrated into Iraq’s security forces, and one can only wonder what will happen when payments eventually stop.
More similar to Afghanistan than Iraq is the situation in Somalia. U.S. policymakers worry that the lack of a strong central government and an Islamist insurgency will make that nation a possible haven for al-Qaeda terrorists, but they rarely admit that U.S. policy caused the problem in the first place. Al-Shabaab, the militant Islamist movement now trying to take over the country, had minimal popular support before the CIA began supporting corrupt Somali warlords. Normally, Somalis tend to be moderate Muslims. The U.S. then sponsored and aided Somalia’s arch rival, Ethiopia, in its invasion of Somalia. Such foreign intervention and occupation caused popular support for al-Shabaab to skyrocket into the current problem. If a foreign country were intruding in or occupying the United States, Americans would probably support any force that would push back against outside interference.
In fact, Americans already did. Why can’t a country that was born out of exasperation about British control and occupation understand that people in other countries don’t like foreign interlopers any better than Americans do?
After 9/11, President George W. Bush alleged that al-Qaeda had attacked the U.S. because of its freedoms. Yet other countries that enjoyed political and economic freedoms weren’t attacked. Most foreign policy analysts chose to ignore or play down all of Osama bin Laden’s writings about his reasons for attacking the United States: U.S. meddling in and occupation of Islamic countries. Why?
Interventionism – a non-traditional U.S. foreign policy developed after World War II – has many supporting vested interests, especially government security bureaucracies, and thus has bipartisan support. Foreign interventions bring bigger budgets to such bureaucracies and also secretly subsidize various industries (for example, U.S. intervention in the Persian Gulf benefits U.S. oil companies). So despite endangering U.S. citizens – through being subjected to 9/11-style anti-U.S. terrorism – and swelling the ranks of militants and terrorists in Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iraq, and Somalia, U.S. meddling in the Muslim world and elsewhere continues because politically powerful interest groups benefit from the policy at the expense of the general public.
Read more by Ivan Eland
- Civilian Trials for 9/11 Suspects Aren’t Enough – November 17th, 2009
- Why Most Counterinsurgency Wars Fail – November 10th, 2009
- Knocking Our Heads Against a Wall in Palestine – November 3rd, 2009
- Is Adulation of the Military Really Patriotic? – October 20th, 2009
- Five Facts About Afghanistan – October 13th, 2009





Andy
October 28th, 2009 at 4:18 am
A fine article. PUBLIC CHOICE THEORY is critical to understanding WHY America has the crazy foreign policy it has. A small number benefit enormously from the policy while distributing the costs to a huge number who gain nothing. Thus a small group cares a great deal about the matter while most are not affected negatively enough to bother about it.
Tweets that mention Obama Still Doesn’t Grasp Blowback by Ivan Eland -- Antiwar.com -- Topsy.com
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[...] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Antiwar.com, Michael Lee. Michael Lee said: #Obama Still Doesn’t Grasp Blowback http://tiny.cc/207wH Not just Obama, most Americans do not understand how their actions caused 9/11 [...]
Nelson_2008
October 30th, 2009 at 2:12 pm
You seem to speak from the perspective that our rulers are there to protect us and our interests…to act as our advocates, etc.
Well I hate to be the bearer of bad news, but it's not a "lack of understanding" that's the problem; rather, it's the fact that our rulers e.g., Obama, Bush, etc., are nothing but puppets. They're not there to think or to try to do what's "right" by us or to make us secure, etc., etc., etc…they're there because they sold their souls for a taste of power, that's all. Their job is merely to take orders from their psychopathic elitist handlers, and pursue the psychopaths' bloodthirsty agenda at all costs.
Why would they care about our "security" (whatever that exactly means) when they obviously don't even care if we have jobs or health care or a functional civil infrastructure? Put simply, the American peasantry is just as expendable as the Iraqi peasantry or the Vietnamese peasantry, for that matter.
Henry_Clemens
November 3rd, 2009 at 1:54 am
To Mr. Eland and all the writers and readers of Antiwar.com: all of us must stop trashing our beloved central government’s policies. All of us should be ashamed of ourselves! Repeat after me: “I pledge allegiance to the flag of the United States of Empire and to the political-military-banking-corporate ruling establishment for which it stands; one nation, under Washington, Wall Street and Goldman-Sachs; with limitless power and big taxpayer bucks for all insiders.” Now, did that not make you feel just a little bit better? I know that it certainly made me feel better. For a while there, I just knew that the CIA, the FBI, the NSA, the TSA, Homeland Security, military intelligence and all the federalized state and local police were spying on all of us. I just knew, that at some critical moment in the not too distant future, we were all going to be arrested in a massive martial law roundup and forced into “re-education camps.” But we can all breathe much easier now. By taking the pledge, we will now be considered “truly loyal” citizens once again. And don’t ever forget that those evil terrorists attacked us on 911 because they hate us for our freedoms and our liberties.